The two paragraphs from the article relevent to
Will’s quote are quoted here:
“Such forecasts must be qualified in two ways. First,
they apply only to the natural component of future
climatic trends—and not to anthropogenic effects such
as those due to the burning of fossil fuels. Second, they
describe only the long-term trends, because they are
linked to orbital variations with periods of 20,000
years and longer. ”
What the article showed, if it was actually read,
is that the scientific method works. Note the phrase,
So, Will was right, they did warn
about an ice age…over the long term
of 20,000 years, specifically exclud-
ing warming trends caused by hu-
mans. Well, even with our present
warming, we still may get an Ice Age
in 200 centuries.
validly on a number questions and topics, including
some of the ecological aspects of global warming. However, if asked about the relative merits of the various
theoretical formulations regarding black holes, I could
respond, but you would be wise to listen skeptically.
CLIMATE VS. WEATHER
Then, there is the misconception of just exactly what is
this thing called “climate,” and how changes in climate
are manifested. There is a great deal of confusion about the
difference between weather and climate. Probably the easiest way to look at this is to address the weather of the
last couple of years in the good ol’ U.S. of A. The weather
over a lot of the country was cooler in the last few years
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The disinformation spread by Will
and folks like him, is rather like the
disinformation spread by the tobacco
companies in the 1960s through the
1980s stating that, since the scientific studies involved with smoking and
health effects were not experimental, but instead correlative, that they
hadn’t proved that smoking caused
cancer. In truth, that was true for
some of the studies, but correlative
research can prove things when it is
coupled with sufficient ancillary information and research filling in all
the causative blanks. The evidence,
of course, became overwhelming and
the tobacco firms finally capitulated.
Additionally, there are indeed
scientists who profess not to accept
the global warming scenarios. It is
worth it for the reader to examine
them to see who pays their bills and
who their employers are. Similarly, it
is well worth investigating their areas
of expertise. Obviously, not every scientist can comment with any degree
of authority on all fields of science.
As an example, I consider myself
a reasonably well-trained invertebrate ecologist; I can comment quite
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